• Dayforce
    北美HR行业观察:从SAP与Workday的收购和Dayforce 123亿美元私有化到传统招聘网站倒闭裁员,HR科技走向何方 2025 年,HR 科技行业迎来资本主导的新周期。SAP 收购 SmartRecruiters(约 15 亿美元)、Workday 收购 Paradox(15–20 亿美元)、Paychex 41 亿美元并购 Paycor,Dayforce 更是以 123 亿美元完成私有化,创下近年最高纪录。与此同时,CareerBuilder 与 Monster 宣布破产,传统招聘门户彻底退出主舞台,而 Indeed、Glassdoor、Dice 等头部平台也因收入压力掀起裁员潮。HRTechChina 认为,行业正在由“流量驱动”转向“平台化与资本驱动”,未来三到五年,平台主导与商业模式更新将成为核心趋势。 资本并购:套件厂商加速补齐短板 2025 年的 HR 科技行业并购步伐异常密集。SAP 宣布收购 SmartRecruiters,其估值约在 15 亿美元左右,这是 SAP SuccessFactors 在招聘领域的重要补位;Workday 宣布收购会话式招聘平台 Paradox(预计交易金额在 15–20 亿美元之间),此前它已收购 HiredScore 与 Flowise,正在逐步形成一个覆盖发现、匹配、对话到招聘入职的完整 AI 招聘体系;Paychex 则以 41 亿美元收购 Paycor,这一交易在中端 HCM 市场堪称标志性事件,显示薪资与人力平台的整合正进入新阶段。 通过这些收购,HCM 巨头们正在强化端到端能力,巩固其在不同层级市场的地位。对于 SAP、Workday 来说,并购不仅仅是功能补充,更是平台竞争力与市场版图的战略扩张。 私有化浪潮:Dayforce 的大额退市 与并购同步,私有化也在重塑行业格局。2025 年 8 月,Dayforce 宣布与 Thoma Bravo 达成协议,将以 123 亿美元的总价退市,股东将获得每股 70 美元的现金溢价。这一交易是近几年 HR 科技领域金额最高的私有化案例之一。 私有化意味着 Dayforce 将摆脱季度财报压力,获得更大的战略灵活度。未来,它可以更加专注于全球薪资、劳动力管理和 AI 驱动的长期布局。这一案例也说明,私募基金正在通过资本运作重新定义 HR 科技公司的发展路径,把更多资源押注在长期增长与平台化能力上。 传统招聘网站的衰落与破产 如果说 HCM 平台的收购与私有化代表着行业集中度的提升,那么传统招聘网站则在经历另一种命运。2025 年,CareerBuilder 与 Monster 在长期亏损和竞争力下降后,进入破产与资产出售程序。Monster 的部分资产由 PartnerOne、Valnet 等公司收购,品牌与部分业务仍在维持,但其黄金时代已经结束。 这些平台在过去十余年曾是招聘行业的入口,但在 LinkedIn、Indeed 以及新兴 AI 招聘技术的冲击下,传统流量型门户逐渐失去了话语权。破产不仅意味着模式的失败,也代表了行业从“广告驱动”向“智能匹配和平台化”彻底转变。 招聘巨头的裁员潮 即便是仍在市场前列的招聘平台,也未能幸免于行业调整。2025 年,Indeed、Glassdoor、Dice 等知名招聘平台相继传出裁员消息。它们的业务模式依然依赖于招聘广告和流量转化,但在经济环境趋紧与 AI 自动化招聘崛起的背景下,收入增速放缓、盈利承压。 裁员潮反映出两个趋势:一是传统的广告与订阅模式正在逐渐被边缘化;二是招聘市场对效率与体验的要求不断提升,而依赖“海量简历投递”的旧模式已经难以满足雇主与候选人的需求。 行业趋势与未来展望 从资本市场的角度看,2025 年 HR 科技行业的走势非常清晰。一方面,SAP、Workday、Paychex 等巨头通过收购强化平台化能力,推动行业集中度进一步提升;另一方面,私募基金通过大额私有化交易让公司摆脱资本市场的短期约束,转向长期战略发展。 与此形成对比的是,传统招聘门户的衰落和招聘广告模式的坍塌,表明行业正在进入一个全新的阶段。招聘的核心不再是“流量和曝光”,而是“匹配和体验”。未来,能够通过平台化和智能化手段帮助企业高效找到合适人才的厂商,将在竞争中脱颖而出。 NACSHR 认为,这一轮变革本质上是资本逻辑与商业模式的双重演进:资本通过并购和私有化推动行业集中,技术则通过平台化和智能化颠覆旧有模式。未来三到五年,HR 科技行业将走向“平台主导、资本驱动、模式更新”的全新时代。 来源:公司公告、新闻稿、行业分析报道(SAP、Workday、Paychex、Dayforce、CareerBuilder、Monster、Indeed、Glassdoor、Dice 等公开信息)
    Dayforce
    2025年08月23日
  • Dayforce
    The Workday Economy – A Bold New Strategy Emerges By Kathi Enderes, SVP Research and Global Industry Analyst with comments by Josh Bersin The Workday Innovation Summit 2025 was more than an analyst meeting: it was a signal that Workday is attempting a full-scale reinvention. Under CEO Carl Eschenbach and Board Chair Aneel Bhusri, Workday is shifting from a product-centric model to an open, partner-driven, AI-powered ecosystem they call “The Workday Economy.” Let’s explain what the company is up to.   Strong Financial Performance  Now on its 20th birthday, Workday is in a position of strength: – $7.7 billion in subscription revenue – 16.9% year-over-year growth – 11,000+ customers in 175+ countries – 70 million users – 93% customer satisfaction. The company’s goal is to reach $10 billion over the next few years, which means continuing this level of growth. Workday is banking on a few big bets: aggressive partnerships and industry solutions, building Agentic AI, investment in Workday Financials, and a mid-market offering. Let’s look at each of the components in detail. The Platform Play: From System to Ecosystem Workday’s legacy as a highly integrated, proprietary stack (or “walled garden”) worked for years, but now it slows innovation. Now, with intention to make Workday an open platform, the company is expanding its Built on Workday program and expanded Workday Marketplace, to build a “Workday Economy.” Partners and customers can use Workday Extend to build applications natively, with low-code tools and lots of support. Comment by Josh: Workday Extend is a massive priority, but building Workday apps is difficult. With 87 partners now, how big can this app ecosystem become? And just as Apple tightly controls apps for the i-Phone, can Workday do the same with such complex industry partners? They’re definitely going in the right direction. Partnerships as Engine of Innovation Workday’s partner ecosystem is now front and center, supporting ISVs, advisory firms, system integrators, and co-innovation partners. A new Clear Skies Initiative is supposed to prevent channel conflict, ensuring partners can build without competing with Workday’s core offerings. Strategic alliances with Randstad, TechWolf, and five new Workday Wellness partners (including MetLife) are examples. Can Workday use these partnerships to drive real, measurable results? Many partner programs are simply referral relationships: how will sales and service teams invest in the success of these partnerships? This is a new muscle for Workday to build. Comment by Josh: This is big. I think Carl understands that Workday’s “market power,” built through its reputation over 20 years, lets the company pick winning partners and resell their offerings, invest in them, and stop trying to build or compete with everyone in this market. This is the type of behavior a $20-30 Billion company demonstrates, and I hope it continues. (ADP white labels many products and their business never stops growing.) Agentic AI: The Next Frontier Agentic AI is clearly core to the strategy. The Workday Assistant, powered by Illuminate, lets employees interact with HR and finance in natural language, across Microsoft Teams, Slack, and more. Early agentic applications like the Payroll Agent, Employee Self-Service Agent, or Recruiting Agent are promising, but the real test will be customer adoption to create business value. As companies deploy more specialized agents, Workday’s Agent System of Record aims to manage all agents, not just the ones created on Workday. With big players like Microsoft, Google, and ServiceNow aiming for the same level of control, this will be a tough battle to fight. Comment by Josh: I’m not really convinced that Workday can be a system of record for agents, when the system is missing so much data. I would bet on Microsoft, Google, Okta, or others to dominate the agent governance market. On the other hand, agents that work with Workday (recruiting agents, L&D agents, pay agents, etc.) do have to integrate with Workday somehow, so to me this is a way to integrate, not “govern” agents. Agent Extensibility and Customization The new Workday Assistant Studio lets partners and customers build agents to fit unique workflows. This extensibility is good news for customers, but it comes with risk. How well will these interfaces work and how easy will it be for vendors to build integrated apps? Workday now has direct integration with Microsoft Copilot and Google, but most Agent-builders are going after customers directly, and they may or may not want to be held hostage within the Workday Assistant. Comment from Josh: Right now SAP Joule is a year ahead of Workday in ERP/HCM Assistants. Most Workday clients I talk with are afraid to even let employees touch the system and they’re deploying Copilot, ChatGPT, Galileo, or other dedicated assistants. The Workday Assistant strategy needs a bold new move, and Studio alone may not be enough. I think Workday may be better off focusing on optimizing its utility within other more broad AI assistants. (What happened to Workday’s big alliance with Salesforce I wonder.) HCM Innovation: Industry Focus and Acquisition Integration Workday’s HCM suite remains the company’s core, with a focus on practical AI and the employee experience. Industry-specific solutions for higher education, healthcare, and financial services are expanding, offering another path to growth and becoming indispensable for clients. Recent acquisitions like HiredScore, VNDLY, and Evisort can add mature AI-driven capabilities that can bring the HCM product (built 20 years ago) into the latest AI era, given the competition in this space. (Workday now resells Evisort.) Comment from Josh: Workday HCM product teams understand what customers need. The challenge they face is “getting there from here,” so I would bet we see many more acquisitions. If you read our latest research on the Revolution in Corporate Learning, for example, you see that Workday has missed this market. Ditto many recruitment features (high-volume, online job previews, AI-assessment.) So I would expect Workday to do more deals like HiredScore, where they get an AI product base and some amazing HCM product talent. Strong Focus on the Financial Suite Workday’s financial management suite is now central to its growth story, with over 35% of new customers choosing it. The company is pushing industry-specific financial applications, automation, and real-time insights. But the finance function can often be conservative and risk-averse, and the promise of truly integrated HCM and Finance solutions is still a dream for most customers. International Expansion Workday’s global ambitions are bold. New offices, expanded partnerships, and talent programs in EMEA are all part of the plan. Today only 25% of revenue comes from international markets so the company will need to invest heavily here. SAP and Oracle are quite dominant in some countries, so the company has to pick its markets carefully. And remember local players. As Workday courts the Global 2000 (including First-Citizens Bank & Trust, UnityPoint Health, and Toyota), the company definitely needs to build out support, partnerships, and presence in these geographies. Comment from Josh: There are many geographies (Asia, UK, Eastern Europe) where Workday is not well entrenched. While SAP and Oracle dominate some of these markets, if Workday builds a strong partnership model (ie. exclusive SI partnerships in these geos, etc.) they can double their growth rate in these sectors. Look at how well Workday has done in Australia (a fairly small market). Is the Mid-Market Ready for Workday? Expanding to the mid-market is another tenant of Workday’s growth plan. With WorkdayGo, the company is adapting its enterprise playbook to leverage partners. With players like UKG, Rippling, ADP, Dayforce, and HiBob providing tailored, right-sized solutions designed for this segment, Workday will find lots of resistance in this market. (SAP tried this years ago.) Comment from Josh: This is a push for me, I’m skeptical. I love Workday as a product but it’s very complex and needs major administrative support. I doubt Workday can effectively compete with HiBob, UKG, and the others Kathi mentions without building or buying a new product. Years ago Taleo (pioneer in ATS) acquired a separate company to launch Taleo Business Edition and that product sold like hotcakes. I have a hard time seeing how pre-configured Workday SKUs make it that much easier to administer. But who knows, maybe an AI-powered “configurator” could fix that up. Customer-Centric Innovation The 2025 Spring Release delivered over 350 new features, shaped by customer feedback. AI-powered talent rediscovery, simplified workflows, and industry-specific enhancements are all on the list. Customers are reportedly happy and shaping the roadmap. This pace of innovation requires companies to keep up with Workday, often not an easy feat, especially in the AI areas, where adoption still lags the many capabilities Workday offers. A focus on supporting AI transformation will be key to drive real value. Josh’s Perspectives Workday is an ambitious, well run, culture-driven company. These announcements signal a major shift from “technology-based” to “market-based” growth. There’s no question in my mind that thousands of ISVs and integrators would love to build businesses around Workday. The only question is how quickly Workday can make this easy and profitable (for them). As far as AI goes, the market is very competitive. SAP’s AI strategy quite far along (Joule is more extensible than the Workday Assistant), and many AI startups are reinventing the HCM market from scratch. So while the Workday Agent System of Record makes sense, many new “Agent-core” or “AI-native” HCM apps will chip away at Workday’s footprint. That all said, this is an exceptionally well run, strong, “Irresistible Organization”. With a new CTO and strong focus on global growth, I see no reason Workday can’t achieve its $10 Billion target in the next 3-4 years.
    Dayforce
    2025年06月12日