• Digital employees
    美国2025年HR发展趋势:数字员工与未来工作场景,大选带来的可能影响 2025年,HR领域将面临前所未有的变革,技术、社会、政治因素共同推动着工作场所的迅速转型。随着AI、数字孪生体、智能代理等技术的加速发展,HR从业者必须应对不断变化的工作环境。与此同时,政治变革,如特朗普有可能在大选中回归执政,将带来政策的不确定性,影响劳动力市场和企业的运营。在这一背景下,HR需要更加灵活、创新和前瞻性。以下是2025年HR发展的八大趋势: 1. 数字员工的全面普及 数字员工、数字孪生体和智能代理将在企业中迅速普及,成为HR团队的重要组成部分。通过AI驱动的自动化,HR能够更高效地处理招聘、员工管理、数据分析等任务。比如,数字员工将帮助筛选简历、安排面试、甚至进行员工培训。这不仅能提高HR的工作效率,还将使HR从繁琐的日常事务中解放出来,专注于更具战略意义的任务,如人才保留和文化建设。 2. 远程工作与混合办公的进一步常态化 远程工作在全球大流行后逐渐成为常态,2025年这种模式将进一步成熟和优化。HR将需要设计更好的政策来管理远程和混合工作的员工,包括技术支持、绩效评估和团队协作。尤其是在政治环境可能受到影响的情况下,如特朗普重回白宫可能带来的政策变化,公司需要更灵活的劳动力管理方式,以应对政策的不确定性和跨州的不同规定。 3. 多元化与包容性在政治压力下的挑战 随着可能的政治环境变化,多元化与包容性可能面临更大的挑战。特朗普回归可能带来对劳动力市场的管制和移民政策的收紧,这将直接影响到HR对全球化人才的招聘。HR需要更加积极地维护职场的多样性与包容性,创造一个公平、包容的工作环境。这也意味着企业需要加强文化敏感度培训,确保在更具分裂性的社会氛围中维护公司内部的和谐。 4. 数据隐私与合规性管理的复杂性增加 随着数字员工和智能代理的使用,企业对员工数据的收集和使用将大幅增加,这对HR的隐私和合规管理提出了新的挑战。特别是在美国,如果特朗普再次执政,劳工和数据保护政策可能会有显著变化。HR需要更加密切关注新的法律法规,确保数据的收集和处理符合各州和联邦法律的要求,并保持透明的沟通以赢得员工的信任。 5. 技能提升与终身学习成为HR焦点 2025年,技能差距问题将进一步凸显,尤其是在技术快速发展的背景下。HR需要与培训和学习部门合作,设计持续的技能提升计划,确保员工能够掌握最新的技术和工作方法。随着AI和自动化工具的普及,员工需要具备更高层次的技术技能和问题解决能力,HR也将更多地参与人才的技能重塑,确保企业在竞争中保持优势。 6. 心理健康与员工幸福感得到更多关注 心理健康已经成为HR的重要议题,2025年这一趋势将继续深化。随着技术和远程工作的普及,工作与生活的界限日益模糊,HR需要关注员工的心理健康,提供相关支持。这不仅涉及到心理健康资源的提供,还需要通过文化建设和员工关怀政策来提高员工的幸福感。随着美国社会可能面临的政治分裂和不确定性,HR需要积极缓解由此带来的员工焦虑。 7. 劳动力市场的多代际管理 2025年,劳动力市场将由多代人组成,包括婴儿潮一代、X世代、千禧一代以及Z世代。不同代际的员工有着不同的工作方式、价值观和技术适应度。HR必须设计灵活的工作政策,平衡各代员工的需求,特别是在招聘、工作模式和员工发展上。同时,AI和数字员工的崛起将进一步重塑这些代际的工作方式,HR需要帮助员工适应这种新常态。 8. 政治环境对劳工政策的影响 如果特朗普在2024年大选中获胜,其政府可能会实施更严厉的劳工政策,影响薪酬、福利、移民和就业法律等方面。 HR需要随时了解政府的政策变化,确保公司运营合规,并积极调整劳动力管理策略。未来几年,美国的政治环境将对企业运营和HR的日常工作产生深远影响,因此HR必须具备应对快速政策变化的灵活性和适应性。 结语 2025年,HR将在技术变革和政治环境变化的双重推动下,面临前所未有的机遇和挑战。数字员工的普及将为企业提供更高效的工作方式,但HR也必须重新思考如何在人与技术之间找到平衡,维护企业文化和员工福祉。在不确定的政治环境中,HR需要具备敏捷性和创新精神,帮助企业在复杂多变的环境中实现可持续发展。
    Digital employees
    2024年10月20日
  • Digital employees
    Josh Bersin:Digital Twins, Digital Employees, And Agents Everywhere 2025 年,数字员工和人工智能助理的崛起将彻底改变人力资源运营,改变招聘、数据分析和员工管理等任务。 这些技术包括数字双胞胎和智能代理,它们将与人类专业人员一起工作,以提高生产力和优化工作流程。 随着人工智能工具成为日常业务不可或缺的一部分,人力资源领导者必须拥抱这些创新,同时继续关注技能培训、心理健康和包容性工作环境。 向人工智能的转变还将重塑团队动态,这对人力资源部门重新设计角色和流程以保持竞争力提出了挑战。 I recently heard Elon Musk predict that every citizen would have multiple Optimus robots in their homes within five years. And while I often ignore his predictions because they’re exaggerated, I think he’s on to something. We are about to witness an explosion of Digital Employees in our companies, and these may be the “robots” we’ve heard about for years. Let me explain. This week I talked with dozens of vendors and clients at Unleash and then visited our development partner Sana Labs in Stockholm. It’s now clear that we’re going to be working with multitudes of “digital employees” in the year ahead. (And as Dario Amodei, the founder of Anthropic explains, AI can do many more positive things in business, science, and health than we ever imagined.) By “digital employee” I mean a software powered agent that can talk with us, answer detailed questions, solve complex analytic problems, and navigate a multitude of systems. ChatGPT and its peers, which introduced the idea of an agent, has now spawned dozens of “agentic” use cases, which I’d be willing to refer to as personalities. Let me start with a “Digital Twin.” Imagine you have a superb customer service agent with years of experience helping your most demanding clients. If you load the last five years of their emails, coupled with all their internal documentation, and a log history of their last two years of service calls, you can essentially “create him or her” digitally with all the knowledge, style, and internal contacts this person has developed. This twin, which may look initially like an AI assistant, could then carry on this employee’s work when the real life worker is on vacation. One of our clients, a large insurance company, has already built “digital twins” for claims processing. If you think about the complexity and workflow of processing a claim, much of it could be learned by an agent, making the “claims robot” an expert on this important process. And as you change claims rules and limits, the agent will learn new guidelines in only seconds. Our AI assistant Galileo, a trained expert on HR (Galileo is trained on 25 years of research and thousands of conversations with clients and vendors), is essentially a “digital twin” of me and the other analysts in our firm. I’m not saying Galileo is as fun to talk with as we are, but I can assure you that he (or she) is as knowledgeable and supportive. And Galileo is even smarter than I am: he has instant knowledge of skills models, compensation benchmarks, turnover statistics, and other data bases which I can only access by looking them up on demand. And using the Sana platform we can configure Galileo to have multiple personalities. Galileo the “Recruitment Agent” might have in-depth knowledge of screening, interviewing, and candidate skills assessment and he may have direct linkage to SeekOut, Eightfold, or any other sourcing applications. In his candidate facing personality he may be able to answer candidate questions, explain shift schedules, and “sell” the company to top job candidates. (This is what Paradox has done for years and vendors like Eightfold and LinkedIn are launching now.) But there’s more. Imagine that this “digital twin” or “digital employee” has intimate knowledge of Workday, SuccessFactors, or a variety of other systems. Now the assistant can not only answer questions and help solve problems, he can also process transactions, look things up, and run reports against multiple system. The digital employee has turned into a “digital analyst,” who can find things and do work for you, saving you hours of effort in your daily life. (Vee from Visier is designed for this.) Suppose you ask your digital friend to attend meetings for you, participate in conversations on certain topics, and alert you in real time when urgent issues come up for discussion. He could help you scale your time, keep you informed about decisions you need to know about, and help you manage your action items. And the list goes on and on and on. Best of all, what if your digital twin can talk to you. Suppose he “checks in” with you about the project you asked for help with last week, so you inform him how things are going and he gets “smarter” about what you may need next. Galileo does this today, prompting you to dig into a problem and explore areas you may not have considered. And if you ask him about management or people issues, he could give you advice and coaching, based on the leadership models or even CEO interviews in your own company. (BetterUp, Valence and others are working on this.) This is not science fiction, my friends. All this is becoming reality and will certainly be common next year. Every vendor has a slightly different focus. The Microsoft Copilot specializes in MS Office-related activities, ServiceNow’s focuses on internal service and support, Galileo is focused on the needs of HR, and Joule is an expert on all the functions of SAP. Each of these “digital employees” needs training, feedback, and connections to stay current and relevant. So it’s doubtful that one digital employee will do everything. (Training a digital employee means managing his or her corpus of information, which will be a major new role in HR.) One thing is very clear: we are going to be living and working with these guys. And as we use them and see what they’re capable of, we’re going to redesign work. Little by little we’ll offload tasks, projects, and workflows. And as we do, we’ll get smarter and smarter about redesigning our teams. I liken the process to that of a carpenter who gets a new multi-function power drill. Before the drill he may have manually drilled holes, carefully selecting the drill bit and the level of pressure based on wood density. Now he drills holes faster, more accurately, and with more precision. Soon he just speeds through the process, spending more time on cabinet fit, finish, or design. The same thing will happen to our HR tasks, projects, and designs. And these new digital employees are programmable! So once we figure out what they’re capable of we can adjust them, customize them, and connect them together. Eventually we’ll have intelligent assistants that operate as entire applications. And that’s the threat to incumbent software companies – the agents hollow out many of our existing applications. How Do Our Digital Employees Impact Our Own Work? One more observation. Many a few of the clients I talked with kept asking “what about our softskills?”  What work is truly human? I think that’s the wrong question. Rather we should ask the opposite: how much can I delegate to my new friends as fast as possible! Have you been upset that your vacuum cleaner took away the rewarding human work of sweeping a floor? How much joy do you get from washing dishes? Did your dishwasher make you feel deflated when you stopped splashing around in the soapy water? Of course not – these tools eliminated tasks we considered to be “drudgery.” Well today, thanks to digital assistants, creating a pivot table to do cross-tab analysis has become drudgery. You can stop getting your hands wet with that task – ask Galileo or Copilot to analyze the data, and then ask him to chart it, add more data, and try new assumptions. The more we learn to use these new digital employees the more “drudgery” we can stop doing. And consider complex “human-centered” activities like “change management.” A client asked me “how could Galileo help me with change management for our new HCM system?” I answered her with dozens of ideas: ask Galileo for case studies of other companies and have it build a checklist to consider based on what other companies did. Then ask Galileo to build a training plan; ask it to read the user documentation and create a table of what features are new; then ask Galileo to rewrite that change plan by role. And finally ask Galileo to write a press release about success, craft some compelling communications to employees, and ask it to compute the ROI of all the steps eliminated. These are all “manual” human tasks we do today and they take time and ingenuity to figure out. If you went through this process in Galileo you could ask your digital employee to save these steps and prompts in a “template,” and you have just taught your digital employee how to do change management. The next time you need him he can step you through the process. As I started to explain this to my client I stopped and said: wait a minute. I can’t possibly show you everything Galileo can do. You have to try it for yourself. And that’s my big message. Don’t wait for a vendor to drop a finished solution in your lap. These are intelligent, trainable, digital experts. You have to get to know them so you can figure out where they fit in your job, your projects, and your company. Just like you do with any new hire. I say it’s time to get started. No more sweeping floors or washing dishes by hand. Let’s meet our digital employees, tell them about our projects, and ask for their help. Step by step, day by day, we can redesign our jobs to be more more productive, liberating us to do greater things.
    Digital employees
    2024年10月19日